“In business, I look for economic castles protected by
unbreachable ‘moats’.”
-Warren Buffett
According to Buffett, the wider a business’ moat, the more likely it is to stand the test of time.
In days of old, a castle was protected by the moat that circled it. The wider the moat, the more easily a castle could be defended, as a wide moat made it very difficult for enemies to approach. A narrow moat did not offer much protection and allowed enemies easy access to the castle. To Buffett, the castle is the business and the moat is the competitive advantage the company has. He wants his managers to continually increase the size of the moats around their castles.
When looking to purchase a business, Buffett pays careful attention to a business he understands not just in terms of what the business does but also of “what the economics of the industry will be 10 years down the road, and who will be making the money at that point.” He is “also looking for enduring competitive advantages.” This, in a nutshell, is what makes a company great: the width of the moat around the company’s core business.
Morningstar’s site explains why the concept of economic moats is a cornerstone of its stock-investment philosophy and describes some of the main features of wide moats.
Low-Cost Producer: Firms that can figure out ways to provide a good or service at a relatively low cost have an advantage because they can undercut their rivals on price. Dell Computer is a textbook example of a low-cost producer because its large size allows it to negotiate favorable component costs, and its direct-sales distribution system allows it to sell PCs more efficiently than rivals who use resellers.
High Switching Costs: Porter defines switching costs as a barrier to entry that involves the one-time inconvenience or expense a buyer incurs to change over from one product or service to another. Buyers in these cases often need a big improvement in either price or performance to make the switch to another product worthwhile. Medical-device companies Biomet and Stryker benefit from high switching costs because, for example, a surgeon would have have to forgo the comfort and familiarity of doing procedures with one artificial joint product. And because the surgeon would have to be trained to use competing products, he or she would also have to contend with lost time and money resulting from not performing as many surgical procedures.
The Network Effect: The network effect occurs when the value of a particular good or service increases for both new and existing users as more people use that good or service. It can also occur when other firms design products that compliment an existing product, thereby enhancing that product’s value. For example, the fact that there are literally millions of people using eBay is the thing that both makes eBay’s service incredibly valuable and makes it all but impossible for another company to duplicate its service.
Intangible Assets: Intangible assets generally refer to the intellectual property that firms use to prevent other companies from duplicating a good or service. Of course, patents are the most common economic moat in this category. In techland, Qualcomm’s patents give it a strong moat in the cellphone industry…A strong brand name can also be an economic moat—just consider consumer-product companies like Coca-Cola and Gillette.
Karl N
on 27 Mar 07Very interesting. Thanks!
Tim
on 27 Mar 07This is also exactly why Warren Buffet has never, and will never invest in the technology sector.
1. He doesn’t understand the cash flow.
2. “Moats” are extremely narrow
some guy
on 27 Mar 07you can read high-level explanations of his overall philosophy but unless you’re willing to sit down with dozens of annual reports and pour over the tables of year-over-year profits and all the other quantitative indicators of a corporation’s health and future prospects, you don’t have a chance of making picks like he does. he’s gotten extremely rich off being able to wallow in things 37signals does not want to show to its customers: screen after screen of quantitative data.
and he has been right too many times for it to be a fluke.
his picks tend to be pretty boring. gilette, coca cola, stuff like that.
hint: paying a billion dollars for a massive liability like youtube narrows your moat.
Tim
on 27 Mar 07@some guy
Warren Buffets overall strategy is not very complicated. He invests in companies which:
have a steady and predictable cash flow (e.g. items that require the consumer to “consume” it, which requires frequent purchases) people are willing to pay a premium for the product/service (e.g. Coca-Cola vs store brand) invest in things you know. does the business retain earnings for growth does the business opperate in a industry which does not compete on price pointsHe is also a huge prominent in investing for the long term.
Ruben
on 27 Mar 07Castles and moats…essentially metaphors for pieces of Porter’s 5 Forces. It’s not the whole story though….switching costs and barriers to entry are vital, but it’s also important to understand power of suppliers as well as substitutes when you consider the competitive advantage of a firm or industry in general.
Tim
on 27 Mar 07I completely agree with Ruben though it must be stressed that, as Ruben said, Porter’s 5 Forces is only a small portion of what factors into evaluating business.
Since Porter’s 5 Forces is only a way to evaluate attractiveness of a market, this does not necessarily mean it’s evaluating a business.
What Porter’s 5 Forces would indicate is that for the online/web-based software market – the attractiveness is very low. This then could be translated into saying that companies who operate in that market are also unattractive to invest in.
Sorry 37signals, looks like Warren Buffet will never be knocking at the door. You’ll have to stick with Bezos.
brad
on 27 Mar 07Tim, are you sure the technology sector’s moats are so narrow? I would think switching costs are a pretty big moat, and I’m not talking about actual switching costs but rather perceived ones. I know a few people who are (still!) using Netscape 4 because they think it would be a hassle to transfer their e-mail address book to another program. How many Mac users switch over to Windows and vice versa? Not many (perhaps a hundred thousand at most out of millions of users). How many people will dump Microsoft Office for Google Apps? Etcetera. I think the perception of high switching cost creates reasonably large moats around many tech companies. Furthermore many tech companies have other moat-widening charactistics such as “low cost producer,” network effect, and intangible assets.
Tim
on 27 Mar 07@Brad
“Moats”, or more precisely, “economic moats” is actually another way of saying – what is the competitive advantage of a business.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/economicmoat.asp
Your example of the switching cost would then not apply.
To give a more appropriate example would be Software-as-a-Service (SaaS). The barriers to entry is extremely low. Hosting costs next to nothing. Developing is inexpensive and fast (using Rails etc). Even 37signals published/promotes that with just a few hundred dollars you can be up and running as a legit business.
brad
on 27 Mar 07Sorry Tim, I was simply using Morningstar’s definition of moats as provided in Matt’s original post above, where they specifically refer to high switching costs as a feature of wide moats.
Chad Burt
on 27 Mar 07Seems like he is defining all the things we dislike about “incumbent” companies that aren’t really looking out for their customers.
High Switching Costs : xyz looks like a better product, but everyone expects to recieve .doc files.
Intangible Assets : Patents can stifle innovation and are often granted when they shouldn’t have. You might concider the DMCA an asset that the RIAA produced.
Low Cost Producer : Wal-mart. Everyone complains, but wants something cheap.
Jon Nichols
on 27 Mar 07@Brad, @Tim
I’m not so sure that online/web businesses don’t have high switching costs in many cases. If you want to switch email providers, letting everyone know about your new email is incredibly time consuming, and you’ll likely still use the old provider (at least to forward mail) for a very long time. Similarly, if you’re on MySpace, and you have 1000 friends, moving to a similar site would cost you a tremendous amount of time rebuilding your friend base.
What’s interesting is that perhaps the most successful web company, Google, has extremely low switching costs. For a consumer, switching to a different search engine has little or no cost at all. And for publishers, switching AdSense code to use a different service is trivial. It’s one of the reasons I’ve stayed away from investing in Google (costing myself loads of money). Switching is just really easy… I switch between Yahoo and Google search almost daily.
Sean
on 28 Mar 07Intangible Assets: Employees and their detailed knowledge of the business, its products, its strengths and weaknesses, competitors, technologies, methodologies, and current systems is a great intangible asset. If a company is great at recruiting and retaining smart and happy employees, then that can help build the Castle and widen the Moat.
Ian Holsman
on 28 Mar 07@Tim
While the ‘moat’ thing is important, the other thing buffett looks at is the people.
He needs strong managers to run his companies, as he doesn’t intervene in most things they do.
It is also important to see how he values a company, and his views on portfolio management. both run against the tide of Wall St
This discussion is closed.