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Two current “it” books seem to offer competing theories. “Blink” says experts succeed when they go with their guts (”decisions made very quickly can be every bit as good as decisions made cautiously and deliberately.”). But “Moneyball” argues that baseball execs who analyze stats outperform scouts who go with instinct. David Brooks points out the interesting theoretical split between the two in his NY Times review of Blink.
The thick-slicing part of the brain reminds me that not long ago I read Michael Lewis’s great book, ”Moneyball,” about a baseball executive who used rigorous statistical analysis to clobber fuzzy-minded old pros who relied on their gut impressions. What is the relationship between self-conscious reason and backstage intuition? Which one is right more often?